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2024-12-13 04:28:05

Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.Meili Technology: Meili, a wholly-owned subsidiary, plans to purchase assets related to MSSC AHLE GmbH for 8.1 million euros. Meili, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Meili Technology, signed an Asset Purchase Agreement with MSSC AHLE GmbH(AHLE Company) on December 10, 2024 to purchase assets related to AHLE Company's business at a transaction consideration of 8.1 million euros, including factory buildings, production equipment, inventory, intangible assets, contractual rights, etc. AHLE Company was established in 1904, and its main business is spring research and development, manufacturing, sales and trade, etc. Its main products include automobile suspension springs, brake chamber springs and recovery springs, and its customers include Volkswagen, ZF and other OEMs and first-class suppliers. Due to operational difficulties, the bankruptcy court in Cologne, Germany, initiated bankruptcy proceedings on the property of AHLE Company on October 1, 2024. Germany Meili purchased these assets by auction, and the transaction price was based on the Financial Due Diligence Report and the Legal Due Diligence Report issued by a third-party intermediary agency, taking into account the market position, channels, customers and future market opportunities of the subject matter of the transaction.Schlegel, Governor of Swiss National Bank: If monetary policy needs to be further relaxed, interest rate reduction is still the main tool. The Swiss National Bank is still willing to intervene in the foreign exchange market when necessary.


Market information: The major shareholders of Hershey, an American chocolate manufacturer, will reject the takeover proposal of Yizi International, thinking that the other party's offer is too low.By 2029, China will build about 10,000 superior specialties of traditional Chinese medicine. According to state administration of traditional chinese medicine, China will promote the construction of superior specialties of traditional Chinese medicine at different levels to further improve the clinical efficacy of traditional Chinese medicine. By 2029, the overall scale of superior specialties of traditional Chinese medicine will reach about 10,000. Recently, state administration of traditional chinese medicine issued opinions on accelerating the construction of superior specialties of traditional Chinese medicine, and put forward the requirements of strengthening the planning and layout of superior specialties of traditional Chinese medicine and promoting the construction of superior clusters of traditional Chinese medicine. (CCTV News)Schlegel, Governor of the Swiss National Bank: It aims to stabilize the inflation rate at 0-2%. We can tolerate inflation temporarily below the target range of 0-2%.


Nordic United Bank: The risk of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cannot be ignored. Nordic United Bank said that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, but there is also a significant risk of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. The differences within the Committee have intensified again, and it is not easy for Lagarde to get another consistent compromise. A possible compromise is to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and at the same time, some guidelines are given, indicating that as long as the ECB's benchmark view remains unchanged, it may cut interest rates again in January. Our benchmark expectation is still to cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the meeting in April next year, when the deposit interest rate is expected to reach 2.25%.President of Hilton Asia Pacific: India's outbound travel will be the story of the next decade. According to the data of the World Tourism and Travel Council, in 2023, Indian tourists spent $34.2 billion on outbound travel. Allen Watts, president of Hilton Asia Pacific, said that compared with the future, the current level of Indian outbound travel consumption is "negligible". "The story of India is unfolding before us," he said. "India's outbound travel will be the story of the next decade." According to the World Tourism and Travel Council's Economic Impact in 2024 report, by 2034, the outbound spending of Indian tourists is expected to more than double, reaching 76.8 billion US dollars, which will make India's position in the global tourism consumption country rise from the 12th in 2023 to the 7th.The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.

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